Here’s why Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market continued falling on Friday
♦️ Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market continued their downward trend on Friday as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalated. ♦️
Bitcoin price dropped to $82,000, erasing some of the gains made during the Asian and European markets.
Ethereum dropped below $1,800, while the market cap of all coins fell to $2.64 trillion.
The stock market’s performance was even worse as futures tied to the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices plunged by over 3%. This means that these blue-chip indices have all moved into a correction.
⭕ Trade war escalates ⭕
Bitcoin, altcoins, and equities declined after China announced its retaliatory measures against the U.S. In a statement, Beijing said it would impose a 34% tariff on all goods imported from the U.S.
In addition, China will restrict exports of certain rare earth minerals, halt sorghum imports from U.S. companies, and add 11 American firms to its unreliable entity list.
These measures mark the most significant response to Donald Trump’s Liberation Day tariffs. Other countries, especially those in Europe, have called for negotiations to prevent the trade war from expanding.
Trump and senior officials have warned that the U.S. will deliver reciprocal tariffs on any country that retaliates. They’ve urged trading partners to lower their tariffs and non-tariff barriers instead.
Therefore, Bitcoin, altcoins, and the stock market are falling as these actions lead to higher odds of a recession. Polymarket data shows that traders have boosted their recession odds to 56%. Companies like Goldman Sachs and PIMCO have also boosted their recession odds.
These fears have pushed market sentiment into extreme territory. The CNN Money Fear and Greed Index dropped to 6, the lowest reading since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Investor pessimism intensified after billionaire and former Bond King Bill Gross warned against buying the dip. He said:
“Investors should not try to ‘catch a falling knife. This is an epic economic and market event similar to 1971 and the end of the gold standard except with immediate negative consequences.”
⭕ Bitcoin, Altcoins, and the Stock Market Fall After NFP Data ⭕
Markets also weakened after the U.S. released the latest nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report. The data showed that unemployment rose to 4.2% in March, up from 4.1% in February.
The economy added 228,000 jobs, beating analysts’ median forecast of 137,000. However, the manufacturing sector, which Trump aims to protect with his tariff policy, created just 1,000 jobs.
These figures will likely have minimal impact on the Federal Reserve, which remains focused on inflation and GDP growth.
Meanwhile, the bond market is signaling expectations of lower interest rates. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.89%, while the 30-year and 2-year yields declined to 4.38% and 3.5%, respectively. If the Fed cuts rates, it would likely be bullish for Bitcoin, altcoins, and the broader stock market.
$BTC $ETH $XRP
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150k
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a
BITCOIN Bollinger squeeze and 1D Death Cross aiming at $150k
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) will complete today a 1D Death Cross (1D MA50 crossing below the 1D MA200). A technically bearish pattern in theory but in practice it has been one of the greatest buy signals during the 2023 - 2025 Bull Cycle.
** Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross, 1W MA50 **
As you can see, since the long-term Channel Up started with the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, we have had another two 1D Death Crosses. Both took place on the Channel Up bottoms (September 04 2023 and August 05 2024), serving as Higher Lows for the pattern. At the same time, the price had a test (or close) of the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), while the Bollinger Bands (blue cloud) have already started to squeeze.
This squeeze is critical as it was even present during the November 21 2022 Bear market bottom, having started a little earlier on October 31 2022. In fact the squeeze started earlier on all three bottom phases and even on the current price action we are seeing so far a Bollinger Squeeze since March 17 2025, a little after the near test of the 1W MA50.
** The Transition Month **
In typical cyclical manner, each year had one Channel Up bottom. This bottom process (consisting of the Bollinger Squeeze, 1D Death Cross and 1W MA50 test) technically appears once a year. We call this month 'Transition Month', which is the necessary phase that BTC spends to go from the bottom to the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up. In 2022 that month was December, in 2023 it was September and in 2024 August. Since all bottom conditions have been met this time also, we expect April to be the 2025 Transition Month.
** What's next? **
As far as the next leg up in concerned, all 3 previous Bullish Legs rose by at least +100% from the bottom. Since March 10 was the close test of the 1W MA50, we can consider that the bottom from which to measure the +100% leg up. That suggests that BTC will hit at least $150000 on the next top.
$BTC
Ethereum Price Prediction: Will ETH Rise Back After Brutal Start?
The cryptocurrency market kickstarts April negatively as the market valuation continues its negative streak. While the blue-chip tokens continue struggling around their important support levels, the Ethereum price has displayed a brutal bloodbath this year with a Year-to-Date (YTD) crash of -47.12%. With this, the $ETH token has created a 3-month negative outflow streak.
Are you one of many who are trying to figure out answers to questions like “Why is Ethereum crashing” and “How low will Ethereum drop?” In this article, we will uncover the short-term mysteries and possible Ethereum price analysis.
ETH Price Breaks Down Its Crucial $1,800 Mark!
Ethereum price today has breached its crucial support of $1,800, highlighting an intensified bearish price outlook. Reportedly, the price of $ETH tokens has recorded a 24-hour low of $1,751.33 with a trading volume of over $26 billion. Moreover, it is on the verge of testing its support area of the triangle pattern, the outcome of which is uncertain.
The Simple Moving Average (SMA) constantly acts as a resistance to the Ethereum price chart in the daily time frame. This highlights an increase in the selling calls for the largest altcoin in the crypto space.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has failed to experience a positive crossover. This has resulted in it dropping toward its oversold range. With its 14-day trendline displaying signs of bearish action, the ETH token may continue losing value this week.
Ethereum ETF Starts April Negatively!
The Ether ETF has displayed a negative price action for over a month now. Reportedly, since 17th March, only 3 ETFs have displayed a positive flow for a collective of 5 times. Grayscale’s “ETHE” recorded a positive flow twice ($10.2M on 19th March & $4.7M on 28th March), followed by Fidelity’s “FETH” with $6.4M on 31st March.
21 Shares was the 3rd and only ETF with positive flow ($0.7M on 19th March & $1.7M on 1st April) during this period.
Even evaluating the last 14 market days, ETH ETF displayed a positive net flow only 2 times, whereas it recorded a negative flow 11 times and a neutral flow once. This suggests a rising disinterest of investors in the 2nd largest blockchain-based exchange-traded funds.
Is Ethereum a Buy or Sell Today?
Maintaining the price of the $1,800 mark could push the Ethereum token toward its $2,000 mark. Furthermore, if the market favors the bulls, this could result in the $ETH coin price heading toward its upper price target of $2,200 this month. This scenario could present a good opportunity to buy ethereum.
On the negative side, if the bears hold power over the bulls, the Ethereum coin price could drop toward its $1,700 mark. Moreover, if the market experiences increased liquidations, this could pull the value of this altcoin toward its multi-month low of $1,500.
IMT/USDT Technical Analysis (1H Timeframe) – April 3, 2025
The $IMT /USDT is experiencing strong bearish momentum, with the price currently at 0.0060480 USDT, reflecting a +1.43% slight bounce. However, the larger trend remains downward, as indicated by price action and technical indicators.
Market Structure & Price Action
Continuous Downtrend: The price has been in consistent decline, forming lower highs and lower lows—a strong signal that bears are in control.
Moving Averages (EMA Ribbons): The red EMA bands fanning downward indicate heavy selling pressure. Every small bullish attempt has been rejected at resistance levels.
Recent Price Bounce: A small recovery is happening, but the trend remains bearish until key resistance levels are broken.
Indicator Analysis & Momentum
Oscillator Insights:
Red dominance in the lower indicator shows that selling pressure is strong.
Yellow and white crosses suggest brief moments of buyer activity, but they haven't led to a trend reversal.
Background Colors:
Blue zones indicate a phase of low volatility and potential market indecision.
Green zones represent attempts at bullish recovery, though they have been short-lived.
Red dominance in the main trend confirms the ongoing downtrend.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels:
0.0062651 USDT (short-term resistance where selling pressure may increase).
0.0066685 - 0.0073099 USDT (critical supply zone where strong rejection is likely).
Support Levels:
0.0060000 USDT (psychological support level).
If this breaks, next major support is around 0.0058000 - 0.0056000 USDT.
Trading Strategy Considerations
Short Positions: With the strong bearish trend, traders may look for shorting opportunities at resistance levels.
Breakout Traders: A break above 0.0066685 USDT with strong volume could signal a potential reversal.
Risk Management: Stop-loss placement should be above 0.0070000 USDT for shorts to minimize risk.
Conclusion
IMT/USDT is still in a downtrend, and unless price breaks above resistance, the bearish sentiment will likely continue. Traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and focus on key levels for potential entries.