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It will take more than Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra upgrade to turn ETH price around. Cointelegraph explains why. Ether price fell below $3,500 on Jan. 7 and has since struggled to trade above that level. The altcoin has declined by 8% over the past 30 days, while the broader cryptocurrency market capitalization increased by 6%. This underperformance is concerning for Ether investors, especially with the launch of the spot Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) in July 2024. Ether/USD vs. total crypto capitalization. Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph Traders' disappointment comes after a period of average Ethereum transaction fees exceeding $2, steady growth in the ETH supply, significant criticism regarding the lack of support from the Ethereum Foundation, and memecoin trading shifting to competitor blockchains, particularly Solana. Three factors could potentially push Ether above $3,500, although some depend on external elements such as regulatory changes. Pectra upgrade, changes in US ETF regulation and layer-2 growth The initial excitement brought by the election of the crypto-friendly United States President Donald Trump quickly faded after the launch of the Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin on the Solana network. The token traded over $12 billion in volume during the first 48 hours, and its market capitalization rose above $14 billion, leading to a substantial influx of new users on Solana. President Trump endorsed the TRUMP memecoin through social media posts, surprising Ether investors since previous non-fungible tokens (NFTs) related to Trump’s conglomerate had been launched on Ethereum. However, Ether’s price was already underperforming after increasing by 26.8% in the fourth quarter of 2024, while the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization grew by 44.6%. Total value locked (TVL) market share. Source: DefiLlama For example, Solana became the leading blockchain in decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes, while Tron captured a 28% market share in the stablecoin sector. Additionally, Ethereum's significant investment in layer-2 scalability using rollups had unintended effects, such as relatively empty blocks. For Ether to surpass the $3,500 resistance level, investors need greater clarity on the effects of the upcoming Pectra upgrade, scheduled for the first quarter of 2025. The proposed changes introduce a unified framework for enhanced interoperability, secure wallet transitions, and simplified storage management. Ether investors believe that, despite good intentions, the development pace is insufficient to generate adequate fees from the layer-2 ecosystem. Consequently, the upgrade will unlikely provide a significant positive impact on Ethereum's native staking yield or base layer scalability. As long as competing chains continue to extract more value from their users, the ETH price will remain under pressure. Another concern for Ether bulls is the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum layer-2 solutions, which declined by 25% after reaching an all-time high of $65.3 billion on Dec. 8, 2024. Despite increased activity, competition for the Ethereum ecosystem is intensifying from all directions, not just from BNB Chain and Solana. For example, Hyperliquid Chain has attracted $1.2 billion in deposits for its perpetual futures exchange. Similarly, competition for users and deposits has emerged from networks such as SUI, Aptos, and TON. While these may not pose a direct threat, they are well-funded and target niche markets like Web3 gaming, social networks, digital collectibles, and artificial intelligence infrastructure. Ultimately, data shows that Ethereum's higher security is not the main driver for adoption. Ether’s success depends on spot Ether ETF inflows, which have not seen $150 million or higher inflows since Jan. 16. Institutional demand for ETH-listed instruments has been disappointing, partly due to the lack of staking capability. Therefore, regulatory changes and the eventual approval of spot Ether ETF options on CME and CBOE could support the Ether price. $ETH

Tesla's US stock rose 2.9% in pre-market trading, with fourth-quarter revenue exceeding expectations #Bitcoin $BTC

While Ripple $XRP and Solana $SOL hovers around $3.13 and $250 respectively on Thursday. Santiment data shows that $ETH market capitalization fell 4.7% XRP and SOL surged 36.9% and 32.2% in one month. Alexander Pack explains how Ethereums modular approach has hurt the ETH price due to reduced fees and less token burn.Santiment data suggest the growing negativity in social media surrounding ETH could serve as a bullish signal for contrarian investors. Ethereums market cap dips while Ripple and Solana rise According to Santiments data Ethereums market capitalization fell while Ripple and Solana market capitalization rose in one month.As shown in the graph below from December 21 to January 21 ETH market capitalization fell 4.7% while XRP and SOL surged by 36.9% and 32.2%. This indicates that the crowd has been slowly but surely turning against ETH crypto’s second market cap in favor of more exciting and outperforming assets like XRP crypto’s third market cap) and SOL crypto’s fourth market cap).Apart from the decreasing market capitalization of Ethereum the crowd has gone after Vitalik Buterin founder of ETH for periodically selling off large amounts of ETH sparking reactions from the cryptocurrency community. Buterin sold around 90,000 ETH (worth over $100 million) in May 2021 and $12 million worth of ETH in March 2023. He explained that some of these sales were to fund personal expenses or support projects related to Ethereum. However these actions often lead to concerns among traders and multi week long selloffs. Moreover traders see it as a signal that Buterin might not have full confidence in Ethereums future which can cause the price of ETH to drop as others follow suit and send mixed signals to the market.Ethereums modular approach has hurt its price According to Alexander Pack cofounder of Hack VC a web3 venture capital firm X post highlights how Ethereum’s shift towards a modular architecture has hurt its price.The main culprit of ETH underperformance has been a very intentional strategic decision that Ethereum made almost five years ago says Alexander Pack.Instead of Ethereum handling all aspects of the platform execution settlement data availability sequencing etc.they intentionally let other projects offer those services in a composable way. This approach called modularization means Ethereum relies on separate projects to handle tasks like processing transactions and ensuring security. While this has helped Ethereum grow its ecosystem, it has hurt the value of its main token ETH in the short term. Fees on the network have gone down so less ETH gets burned removed from circulation which lowers its price. Additionally new modular projects with their tokens are taking away some of the attention and investment that used to go to ETH.

BTC Defies Stock Market Collapse, Nvidia Loses $465 Billion Bitcoin (BTC) recovered over $102,000 after falling to $97,500 amid Monday's stock market crash caused by Nvidia's record-breaking market value loss. Nvidia lost $465 billion and the Nasdaq sank 3%, yet Bitcoin rose over $5,000 from its lows. Bitwise European Head of Research Andre Dragosch called Bitcoin's price movement “extremely bullish,” citing its two-day outperformance versus the Nasdaq index. Dragosch said this pattern suggests BTC has little downside despite market uncertainties. Stock volatility vs. crypto strength DeepSeek's Janus-Pro-7B AI picture generator raised worries about U.S. AI domination. Nvidia shares fell 17%, joining tech and crypto sectors in the risk-off mood. Short-Term Holders Leave as Futures Capitulate The sell-off cost short-term Bitcoin investors over 21,000 BTC (worth $2.2 billion) when they moved currency to exchanges. This was the second-largest transfer of the month and showed concern among new investors who had bought at near-record $108,000 earlier in the year. Short-term holders lose on Glassnode exchanges The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), a major institutional Bitcoin trading venue, reported a record reduction in open interest (OI) of $2.4 billion (17,000 BTC). Bitcoin Analysts Expect “Explosive Move” Despite the turmoil, experts are hopeful about Bitcoin. Keith Alan, Material Indicators co-founder, noticed good trade indications suggesting BTC is stabilizing before its “next explosive move.” Alan said, “Recovering the 21-Day Moving Average before the daily candle close was a positive sign,” adding that his patented analytics corroborate the bullish trend. Fundstrat Research chairman Tom Lee dubbed Nvidia's fall a "overreaction" and a buying opportunity. “Markets don't like uncertainty, but this is a chance for investors,” Lee told CNBC. Pre-market trading has seen Nvidia shares rise 5% and Nasdaq futures rise 1%, suggesting a comeback. $BTC

Over 12 months SUI Coin performed well beating most other altcoins as it entered the top 10 cryptocurrencies ranking. One analyst believes Sui can grow by 830% to reach $40 because of its strong price performance over the past year. We must study if Sui can reach its target value while comparing its market potential to Aptos. Sui rose from $1.50 in 2023 to its highest-ever price of $5.36 in recent market development. These results inspire market participants who think Sui may become a strong competitor to top blockchain systems Ethereum and Solana. A well-known crypto analyst whose predictions prove accurate predicts Sui will climb to $10 this cycle and then possibly rise to $40. By reaching its predicted potential the Sui token network could increase from a market capitalization of $13 billion to $120 billion while maintaining its current circulating supply of 3 billion tokens. The forecast relies on the common price chart indicator “cup and handle” which typically signals upcoming significant market gains. Both Sui and Aptos emerged in 2022 though Sui attracted initial notice while Aptos rapidly developed its position as a strong blockchain platform. Investors seeking high incomes prefer Aptos because its 7% StakingReward stands higher than Sui’s 2%. The Aptos blockchain hosts more decentralized applications since it operates 54 dApps versus Sui’s 51. Large amounts of stablecoins flowing into the Aptos network indicate strong growth since its launch compared to Sui which holds $487 million. The number of developers building on Aptos equals 1,695 developers whereas Sui has only 1,394 developers in its ecosystem. The token’s price has steadily stayed in the same range since launch and currently rests close to the regression channel’s average value. Analysts think a sustained trading level above $14.45 will ignite powerful market momentum toward higher prices. If Aptos tracks Solana’s and Sui’s price movements it might push its value toward $72.50 to deliver a 700% profit. Sui and Apto’s development draws market attention and investor interest. The evolving crypto landscape will continue to observe Sui’s bid to reach its $40 goal next to Aptos’s push for market dominance.$SUI