Bitcoin Above $100K as Drawdowns Hit Record Lows: Is Volatility Declining?
- Bitcoin trades above $100K, supported by strong capital inflows and institutional interest.
- Long-term holders set a record with $2.1B in realized profits during the current liquidity surge.
- Market drawdowns show reduced volatility, with most declines limited to 25% below local highs.
Bitcoin continues trading above the $100,000 price level, fueled by steady and consistent capital inflows. This price level, often viewed as psychologically significant, has maintained strength as market participants engage in increased activity. Glassnode shows a notable pattern of distribution by long-term holders , who are leveraging the current liquidity surge to offload supply at scale.
Market Drawdowns Show Reduced Volatility Amid Increased Demand
According to glassnode, the severity of market drawdowns during Bitcoin’s bull market cycles has declined despite notable sell-side pressure. The current uptrend’s deepest drawdown reached -32% on August 5, 2024, while most decline only fell -25% below local highs. Spot ETFs and institutional interest may have bolstered demand, contributing to this reduced volatility.
Source: glassnode
Short-Term Holder Impact
Short-Term Holders (STH) remain key contributors to realized losses during uptrends. Metrics reveal August 2023 and September 2024 saw significant drawdowns, marked by unrealized losses among the STH cohort.
Source: glassnode
Both instances highlighted the top-heavy nature of the market, with a super-majority of coins underwater. These periods of pressure underscored the pivotal role of STH coins in shaping market behavior.
Long-Term Holders Capitalize on Liquidity as Realized Profit Sets Record
Long-term Bitcoin holders have been seizing the opportunity provided by current market liquidity to distribute their holdings. This has resulted in a new all-time high for realized profits, reaching $2.1 billion.
Source: glassnode
The realized profit of $2.1 billion underscores the significant market movement during this period. It reflects the highest profit realized in Bitcoin’s history. This development showcases the ongoing activity among market participants, especially long-term holders, contributing to the overall market dynamics.
The combination of consistent capital inflows and strategic distribution by holders continues to shape Bitcoin’s price trajectory . As Bitcoin remains above $100,000, the market exhibits resilience amidst heightened activity and record-setting profit realization.
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