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The probability of approval of spot crypto ETFs such as LTC and SOL is 90%, and XRP is 85%. According to the latest data shared by Bloomberg analyst @JSeyff, many institutions have submitted applications for spot crypto ETFs such as LTC, SOL, and XRP. Bloomberg Intelligence estimates that the probability of approval for Litecoin, Solana, and crypto asset basket/index ETFs is 90%, XRP is 85%, DOGE and HBAR are 80%, and DOT, AVAX, ADA, etc. are 75%. The 19b-4 documents of all projects have been confirmed by the SEC, and the final approval deadline is concentrated in the second half of 2025.

Bitget and Avalanche partner to boost Web3 growth in India Crypto exchange @bitgetglobal and blockchain platform Avalanche $AVAX have partnered to support India's growing Web3 community, announcing $10 million in grants, scholarships, hackathons and workshops. Initial efforts

The Virtuals Protocol ($VIRTUAL ) token has surged from $1.12 to $1.48 in three days, with recent X posts reporting a 30–41% increase in 24 hours, reaching $1.45 and a $960 million market cap. This response explores the mechanics behind this pump, focusing on demand and supply dynamics, the role of perpetual futures, open interest, short squeezes, market makers, and potential insider trading, while assessing the rally’s sustainability. It also connects to the broader context of meme coin pumps and daily capital rotation, excluding wallet tracking details as requested. $VIRTUAL ’s price surge mirrors meme coin pumps but is distinct due to its AI-agent ecosystem and specific market dynamics. A steep increase in open interest (OI) in $VIRTUAL ’s perpetual futures market, where traders place leveraged bets on price movements without owning the token, reflects growing market participation and correlates with price increases. For example, the TRUMP token saw OI surge to $686 million alongside a 60% price rally, driven by futures activity. Perpetual futures allow high leverage (e.g., 10x–100x), amplifying price movements. Market makers hedge these bets by buying $VIRTUAL on the spot market, increasing spot demand and pushing prices higher, with VIRTUAL’s perpetual futures trading volume hitting over $1 billion daily. Short squeezes are a primary driver, with short sellers betting on price declines forced to buy back VIRTUAL to cover losses when prices rise, creating a feedback loop of buying pressure. This was evident in the TRUMP token’s rally, where a short squeeze triggered liquidations, driving prices higher. Centralized exchanges and market makers may intentionally push prices up to liquidate shorts, profiting from liquidation fees, aligning with broader crypto market patterns where short liquidations exacerbate bullish moves with high leverage. Additionally, most VIRTUAL liquidity has shifted from the Base chain to Solana, with market makers and centralized exchanges controlling the bulk of the supply, allowing significant price influence, akin to meme coin pumps where whales manipulate low-liquidity tokens. The Virtuals Protocol ecosystem, including tokens like $AIXBT, $GAME, $LUNA, $TIBBIR, and $ACOLYT, saw a 67.7% increase in 24 hours, matching VIRTUAL’s rise. These tokens are paired against VIRTUAL in liquidity pools, not USDC or ETH, so a 10% rise in VIRTUAL’s USD price automatically lifts ecosystem tokens by a similar margin due to pegged ratios. This lack of independent demand for ecosystem tokens indicates VIRTUAL’s price surge drives the ecosystem’s value, not organic trading of individual AI-agent tokens, suggesting leveraged bets on VIRTUAL itself are the primary catalyst. Furthermore, VIRTUAL’s surge aligns with growing interest in AI-agent tokens, a top-performing category alongside Solana memes and PolitFi tokens, with X posts highlighting a 160% surge in seven days and $575 million in 24-hour trading volume. Social catalysts, like VIRTUAL’s refund of triple tokens to users affected by a Genesis Allocation error, boost trust and FOMO, similar to meme coin pumps driven by viral narratives. However, stagnant protocol usage and trader numbers suggest hype is secondary to leveraged futures activity. The market is described as “player versus player,” with insiders holding early knowledge or large holdings profiting disproportionately. While no direct evidence of insider trading exists, the rapid price surge and market maker control raise suspicions, as seen in crashes like the M token, where $4.5 billion in value shifted hands without clear attribution. Regulatory challenges in crypto make insider trading harder to detect, especially in emerging markets with limited oversight. Demand primarily comes from market makers hedging perpetual futures bets and traders taking long positions in futures markets, with short sellers covering positions during squeezes also contributing. Retail investors driven by FOMO play a secondary role, reacting to price momentum and ecosystem hype, though limited new trader influx is noted. On the supply side, market makers and exchanges holding most of VIRTUAL’s supply limit available tokens on DEXs, tightening supply and enabling price manipulation. X posts note 1% of VIRTUAL’s supply is locked in liquidity pools for 10 years to support AI-agent creation, reducing circulating supply and increasing scarcity. Ecosystem tokens’ value is tied to VIRTUAL, centralizing supply dynamics around its price. VIRTUAL’s pump fits the pattern of daily capital rotation in crypto, particularly meme coins and speculative altcoins. Funds move from Bitcoin to large-cap altcoins (e.g., Solana), then mid/small-cap altcoins and meme coins like VIRTUAL, before exiting to stablecoins. VIRTUAL’s $1 billion daily futures volume and $575 million spot volume indicate rapid capital movement, with traders chasing short-term gains, similar to meme coins with a 77% turnover ratio. Market makers and large holders rotating profits into VIRTUAL mirror whale activity in meme coins, where profits from one token (e.g., $TRUMP) fund pumps in others (e.g., $FARTCOIN). VIRTUAL’s rally may signal a cycle peak, as meme coin and altcoin pumps often precede broader market corrections, with profits rotating back to Bitcoin or Ethereum. The rally, driven by leverage and short squeezes rather than fundamental demand, raises concerns about longevity. Reliance on perpetual futures and short squeezes risks quick reversals if sentiment shifts or liquidations cascade, with research noting increased volatility and trading costs. Stagnant protocol usage and trader numbers show the price isn’t driven by organic adoption, unlike meme coins with strong community engagement. Centralized supply control risks manipulation, and a sudden sell-off by market makers could trigger a correction. However, continued FOMO, AI-agent narrative strength, and high leverage (up to 100x on platforms like Bitget) could sustain the rally, especially with more short squeezes, while long-term token locks reduce selling pressure. Risks include volatility, described as a “volatile game” with potential 8–9% drawdowns, where a trailing stop-loss strategy is recommended. Perpetual futures face regulatory challenges in emerging markets, which could impact VIRTUAL if oversight tightens in 2025. Retail investors face disadvantages against insiders, increasing correction risks. Price predictions vary: Traders Union forecasts VIRTUAL at $1.01 by end-2025, while a return to $4 seems unlikely without sustained leverage. Given the speculative nature, a correction is likely post-momentum, similar to meme coin cycles with 90% value losses. The Virtuals Protocol pump is driven by surging open interest in perpetual futures, short squeezes, and market maker supply control, with ecosystem token prices rising due to liquidity pool pegging. Demand stems primarily from leveraged traders and market makers, with retail FOMO secondary, while supply is constrained by centralized holdings and locked tokens. Mirroring meme coin pumps, capital rotates into AI-agent tokens as a speculative narrative. The rally’s reliance on leverage, lack of fundamental growth, and insider-driven dynamics make it unsustainable long-term, though short-term gains are possible with disciplined risk management. Traders should monitor futures OI, trading volume, and ecosystem sentiment on X but remain cautious of volatility and corrections. That's It For Today. If You Found This Insightful Drop a like and let me know through comments 🫡🤝🎖️🦾 $BTC $VIRTUAL $ETH $SOL $XRP $ADA $AVAX $HAEDAL $SIGN

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