XRP Market Analysis: XRP Struggles Near $2 as Bears Dominate — Is a Reversal in Sight?
On the one-hour chart, XRP has shown minor recovery signs after rebounding from its $2.06 support level. The pattern of small green candles and uptick in volume suggests some intraday buying pressure. However, resistance near the $2.15 to $2.2 zone has capped further gains, making it a critical level for bulls to break. Traders may consider entries on pullbacks closer to support, aiming for profits within this narrow range. A stop-loss below $2.05 is advisable to mitigate downside risk on failed bullish attempts.
XRP/ USDT 1H chart on March 29, 2025.
The four-hour chart illustrates a clear downtrend, characterized by a series of red candles and occasional bullish pullbacks. Volume analysis reveals strong sell-offs, though the latest sessions reflect moderate recovery. Support remains strong at $2.06, and resistance in the $2.3 to $2.4 zone is proving formidable. Any rejection near $2.2 to $2.3 could be a potential entry for short positions. Conversely, a confirmed bullish engulfing candle above $2.1 with momentum may favor a cautious long approach. Stop-loss placements should align with $2.5 or $2.05 thresholds based on position direction.
XRP/ USDT 4H chart on March 29, 2025.
The daily chart reinforces a bearish market structure, with XRP forming lower highs and lower lows. The $1.9 level acts as a significant support zone, while resistance near $2.5 continues to challenge upward movements. Daily volume patterns favor sellers, especially on bearish candles, suggesting weak follow-through on rallies. While short entries near resistance levels may remain favorable, long positions should only be considered if a convincing bounce from $2.1 or $1.9 occurs alongside increased buying volume. Overall, the daily chart paints a cautious outlook for bullish traders.
XRP/ USDT 1D chart on March 29, 2025.
Oscillator readings indicate an overall neutral-to-bearish sentiment. The relative strength index (RSI) sits at 40.14, suggesting neutral momentum without clear overbought or oversold conditions. The stochastic oscillator at 19.25 also signals neutrality, as does the commodity channel index (CCI) at -129.79. The average directional index (ADX) reads 12.71, pointing to a weak trend environment. On the bearish side, the awesome oscillator at -0.022, momentum at -0.406, and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level at -0.036 all support a sell stance, signaling weak momentum and potential downward continuation in the short term.
XRP’s moving averages (MAs) confirm the bearish technical framework. The exponential moving averages (EMA) for 10, 20, 30, 50, and 100 periods all suggest sell conditions, with respective values consistently above current price levels. The simple moving averages (SMA) mirror this bearish pattern, with similar readings indicating sustained downside pressure. Notably, only the 200-period EMA at 1.938 and SMA at 1.779 flash a buy signal, reflecting long-term support. Until XRP can reclaim key EMA and SMA levels, particularly the 10 and 20-period thresholds, upside traction may remain limited.
For bullish traders, XRP may present a short-term opportunity if it can hold support at $2.06 and reclaim ground above $2.15 with increasing volume. A confirmed breakout above $2.3 could mark the beginning of a stronger upward move. Until then, scalping near support levels with tight risk controls offers the most favorable scenario for bulls in the current environment.
From a bearish perspective, XRP continues to exhibit weakness across all major timeframes, reinforced by sell signals from most oscillators and moving averages. Failed attempts to breach $2.15 or $2.3 resistance levels may serve as entry points for short positions, with downside potential toward the $2.00 or $1.90 zones. Bears retain control unless there is a decisive shift in trend strength or volume-backed momentum.
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TRUMP and MELANIA Tokens 2 Months Later: A Presidential Meme Coin Experiment
Donald Trump made history as the first U.S. president to debut an official meme coin, TRUMP, on Jan. 17, 2025—three days prior to his swearing-in ceremony. Notably, Melania Trump followed with her own digital asset, MELANIA, unveiled on Jan. 19, 2025, a mere 24 hours ahead of the presidential inauguration.
As of publication, the circulating supply of TRUMP tokens stands at 199,999,976, representing a fraction of the total fixed supply, which is capped at 1,000,000,000 coins. The leading external holder of TRUMP tokens, excluding the project, is Binance, which notably commands 25,151,426 TRUMP—equivalent to 12.58% of the circulating supply—on its exchange platform.
OFFICIAL TRUMP/USD via Coinbase on March 29, 2025.
Following Binance, a pseudonymous entity holds 16,034,161 TRUMP—8.02% of the circulating supply—within a single Solana account. The token’s creator or issuing entity retains 15,019,350 TRUMP, accounting for 7.51% of the 199,999,976 tokens in circulation. A separate Binance wallet holds roughly 15,000,000 TRUMP, comprising 7.5% of the total circulating within the cryptosphere.
MELANIA/USD via Bitstamp on March 29, 2025.
Since its debut, TRUMP holders have faced challenges, as the asset has plummeted 85.9% from its peak value of $73.43. Presently, TRUMP fluctuates between $9.85 and $11.25 per token relative to its seven-day simple moving average (SMA). The presidentially themed meme coin asset now boasts a market capitalization just exceeding $2 billion. MELANIA has similarly retreated, losing 95.1% of its value from its all-time peak of $13.05.
Presently, the token exchanges hands at $0.61 per coin, with 150,000,000 coins in circulation. This calculates to a market capitalization just shy of $100 million—$95,250,797, to be precise. Meteora’s MELANIA-USDC liquidity pool commands the largest share of MELANIA tokens outside the project’s team allocation, holding 105,613,966 coins (70.41% of the current circulating supply).
This steep decline likely stems from waning enthusiasm for meme coins amid broader market downturns. Notably, meme-centric assets have experienced disproportionately severe declines compared to other sectors during the recent crypto-market correction.
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Bitcoin Price Watch: Bearish Momentum Dominates as $80K Support Levels Face Pressure
On the 1-hour chart, bitcoin is in a clear downtrend, falling from a recent high of $87,481. Selling pressure has intensified, with volume increasing during downward moves, confirming the bearish bias. Support is established near $82,000, while resistance lies around $84,000. Traders may consider shorting on minor rebounds, using $84,000 as a key level for invalidation. Should bitcoin break above this resistance with strong volume, the trend could reverse.
BTC/USD 1H chart via Bitstamp on March 29, 2025.
The 4-hour chart further underscores the bearish sentiment, with a sharp decline from $88,772. The market is forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Resistance is visible between $85,000 and $86,000, while support remains at $82,000. High-volume red candles suggests stronger selling pressure. Any recovery attempts would need to overcome resistance at $86,000 for a shift in momentum.
BTC/USD 4H chart via Bitstamp on March 29, 2025.
On the daily chart, bitcoin has shown a prolonged decline from its peak at $99,508. The key support level at $76,600 remains intact, while resistance ranges from $88,000 to $90,000. The bearish structure remains prominent, with volume spikes occurring mostly on red candles. Traders may look for buying opportunities only if bitcoin manages a decisive breakout above $90,000. Otherwise, further downside may be anticipated.
BTC/USD 1D chart via Bitstamp on March 29, 2025.
Oscillators present a predominantly neutral outlook, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 43, Stochastic at 49, commodity channel index (CCI) at -32, and the average directional index (ADX) at 23, all signaling indecision. The awesome oscillator also remains neutral. However, the momentum indicator at -3,954 suggests downward pressure, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) at -831 offers a buying signal, hinting at potential price stabilization.
Moving averages (MAs) across various timeframes align with the bearish narrative. The exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) for the 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200-periods all signal selling. Notably, the EMA (10) at $85,196 and the SMA (10) at $85,446 reinforce immediate selling pressure. Long-term MAs like the SMA (200) at $85,809 indicate that sustained recovery remains unlikely without significant buying interest.
Fibonacci retracement levels further illustrate key resistance points. On the daily chart, bitcoin remains below the 50% retracement level at $88,054, suggesting further downside risk. The 4-hour chart shows resistance at the 50% level of $85,728, while the 1-hour chart highlights $84,517 at the 61.8% level as a crucial inflection point. A failure to reclaim these levels would likely lead to further declines. Conversely, a breakout above these Fibonacci markers could trigger a short-term bullish reversal.
If bitcoin manages to break above the key resistance levels of $85,000 and $86,000 on strong volume, a short-term bullish reversal could emerge. The buy signal from the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) offers a glimmer of potential upward momentum. A sustained move beyond the 50% Fibonacci retracement levels across multiple timeframes would further support a bullish case, with targets around $88,000 to $90,000.
The prevailing bearish momentum across the 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily charts, combined with continuous lower highs and lower lows, indicates a strong possibility of further downside. With moving averages showing clear sell signals and oscillators lacking bullish conviction, bitcoin may face additional pressure. A breakdown below the $82,685 support level could accelerate losses, potentially driving the price toward the long-term support near $76,600.
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Bpifrance Commits to Digital Asset Growth With $27 Million Investment in French Firms
The French investment bank Bpifrance has announced plans to invest the equivalent of $27 million (€25 million) in digital asset firms with a strong French footprint. These investments are part of the bank’s strategic plan and are in addition to loans and equity investments from Bpifrance Digital Venture, Large Venture, and French Touch Capital funds.
According to a statement, Bpifrance’s objective with these investments is to bolster French digital asset investment funds, which are currently very limited. Additionally, directly investing in digital assets is an important step for Bpifrance, as it helps strengthen its knowledge of asset tokenization and liquidity management on the blockchain.
Arnaud Caudoux, deputy CEO of Bpifrance, said that accelerating its digital asset investment strategy reaffirms the company’s commitment to French digital asset entities operating within the European regulatory framework. Caudoux added:
We are convinced of the growing importance that these players will take on in the years to come, and we want to increase French competitiveness and presence in the field of digital assets.
French Minister Delegate for AI and Digital Affairs Clara Chappaz praised Bpifrance’s initiative, stating that it demonstrates France’s desire to become a country of “excellence” for these technologies. Chappaz also expressed the desire for homegrown crypto and blockchain projects to compete on the global stage.
“We are taking a further step to enable our national champions to scale up in a sector where competition is intense: the involvement of financiers, both public and private, is one of the keys to the sustainable positioning of our ecosystem on the international stage,” the French minister said.
In return for the investments, Bpifrance will hold digital assets listed on decentralized financial markets. Some of the French projects earmarked to receive support include those focused on decentralized finance, physical networks, tokenization, (re)staking, layers 1-2-3, artificial intelligence, and identity certification.
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Tether Invests $10.8 Million in Be Water to Revolutionize Digital Content
Tether Inc. has made a strategic investment in Be Water, a media company specializing in film, audio, and live content distribution. Through a $10.8 million (€10 million) capital increase, Tether will acquire a 30.4% stake, supporting Be Water’s vision of integrating technology with content creation.
This investment reflects Tether’s broader strategy of diversifying beyond financial technology. With over $13 billion in 2024 profits and $113 billion in U.S. Treasury holdings, Tether has already expanded into various sectors, including a $775 million investment in video platform Rumble and a $200 million stake in Blackrock Neurotech.
“At Tether, we recognize the power of storytelling and the importance of independent media in shaping informed societies. Our investment in Be Water aligns with our vision to support technology-driven innovation across industries,” said Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether.
With Tether’s backing, Be Water plans to develop advanced digital infrastructure, enhance investigative journalism, and expand globally. This partnership aims to leverage blockchain and digital tools to revolutionize media distribution, further cementing Tether’s role in driving technological innovation across industries.
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