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$ES $NQ $NQ_F $QQQ calling it a day with just the 1 trade. I usually like to best of 3 but now getting late in day and if I take a loss on next 1 may not get another ( which would be fine except the fact I closed my 1st trade below a 1R so a loss will flip me to -.5 R for day )

The financial and crypto markets continue to experience sharp declines, as investors await inflation data and decisions from the FED. Despite favorable regulatory advances, bitcoin and ethereum are plunging, seeking a deliverance that will certainly come from the forthcoming data on the CPI and the FOMC. But what will it really be like? Wall Street continues its bearish trend started this Monday , recording a sharp correction. Indeed, the S&P 500 is down 2.6%, the Nasdaq-100 drops 3.1%, and the Dow Jones retreats by 2.2%. This tension has impacted Asia, where futures for the Nikkei 225 and the Hang Seng indicate further losses. In this context of nervousness, bitcoin has fallen by 5.8% to $76,838, while ethereum has plummeted 11.5% to $1,795. As the crypto market feels the pressure, the Trump administration is preparing an executive order aimed at revoking the banking restrictions imposed under Biden. The initiative would seek to cancel “Operation Chokepoint 2.0”, a controversial policy that allegedly limited crypto companies’ access to banking services. This initiative had already been announced last January by Travis Hill. The decree could also clarify the status of stablecoins and relax the FED’s rules regarding banks holding digital assets. This shift aligns with the White House’s new pro-crypto direction, following recent statements by Trump about creating a national bitcoin reserve. Investors are eagerly awaiting the publication of the consumer price index (CPI) on Wednesday, March 12, 2025 , which is expected to show an increase of 0.3% in February (compared to 0.5% in January). The annual inflation rate is expected to be 2.9%, slightly down from 3% in January. Any upside surprise could delay the rate cuts projected by the FED, putting further pressure on the stock and crypto markets. Moreover, the upcoming FOMC meeting on March 18 and 19, 2025, could have a devastating effect on cryptos, particularly bitcoin. As the crypto market capitalization continues to fall, the FED’s tightening monetary policy is causing concern. However, some analysts believe that the recent drop in the dollar , the largest since the financial crisis of 2008, could boost the markets in the coming months.

Peter Schiff, famous defender of gold and fierce critic of bitcoin, did not miss the opportunity to mock crypto investors following the recent drop in prices. While bitcoin has lost nearly 30% of its value in a few weeks, the economist made a provocative remark on social media. Peter Schiff , prominent financial commentator and fervent defender of precious metals, joked this Tuesday, stating that the American manufacturing industry would experience strong growth because many crypto millionaires “will need jobs.” This sarcastic statement comes as bitcoin plunged to 76,600 dollars before stabilizing around 80,000 dollars after a slight rebound. This decline is not isolated, but is part of a broader context of stock market turmoil. The Nasdaq 100 recorded its worst day since 2022 with a nearly 4% drop. Companies exposed to bitcoin have particularly suffered, as evidenced by the spectacular declines in the shares of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy, -16.68%) and Tesla (-15.43%), two companies that have heavily invested in crypto. In the wake of this major correction, Schiff directly questioned the relevance of the American project for strategic reserve of bitcoins , recently announced by the Trump administration. “If the price can drop by more than 30% in less than two months without anything actually happening, how can that be a reserve of anything,” he stated, adding that the logic would be “even harder” to understand if crypto ended up collapsing by 50%. This new attack from Peter Schiff is part of a long series of critiques against bitcoin. The economist, who already labeled crypto as “dead” in May 2024 despite trading levels close to record highs, consistently favors gold and silver as safe havens. He considers bitcoin as a purely speculative asset devoid of intrinsic value, posing what he sees as excessive risks for investors. In the face of these attacks, some crypto specialists defend a radically different vision. Arthur Hayes, former CEO of BitMEX, asserts that such a correction is perfectly “normal” in the context of a long-term bull market. According to him, this drop even represents a buying opportunity, especially when central banks ramp up their monetary easing policies. This controversy arises at a crucial time for the institutional adoption of bitcoin in the United States. On March 7, the Trump administration hosted a crypto summit at the White House , bringing together iconic figures from the sector like Michael Saylor (Strategy), Sergey Nazarov (Chainlink), and Brian Armstrong (Coinbase). The American Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, confirmed that the president is seriously considering a strategic reserve focused exclusively on bitcoin, potentially positioning the queen of cryptos as a “digital gold” in the national economic strategy. This correction ironically comes after Michael Saylor presented a strategy aimed at generating 100,000 billion dollars over ten years at the White House crypto summit. His plan advocates for the United States to acquire up to 25% of the total bitcoin supply by 2035.

The global economic order is wavering under the impact of protectionist decisions from the United States. While the BRICS aim to reduce their dependence on the dollar, a major upheaval could be on the horizon. The resurgence of American tariffs could fuel a rise in the greenback, threatening to undermine emerging economies and hinder their efforts at dedollarization. This potential rise of the dollar, far from inconsequential, could mark a turning point for the global monetary balance. The United States, driven by Donald Trump, has relaunched an aggressive tariff policy , impacting a wide range of imported products. This decision is part of a strategy aimed at rebalancing the American trade balance and strengthening the status of the dollar in international markets. According to Goldman Sachs, this protectionist dynamic is expected to have a mechanical effect on the dollar’s value, making the American currency more attractive to investors. Thus, “entities that take long positions on the dollar will see their profits increase as tariffs enhance its appeal,” explain the bank’s analysts. The consequences of this policy go beyond the United States. Indeed, Mexico and Canada are already experiencing the impact of these tariff increases, raising trade tensions between economic blocs. But it is mainly the BRICS that could be the primary victims. For several years, these emerging economies have been striving to reduce their dependence on the dollar in international trade. A depreciation of their respective currencies against a soaring greenback would complicate these efforts, making their imports more expensive and weakening their economic systems. One of the strategic pillars of the BRICS lies in the diversification of monetary transactions and the establishment of an economic system less dependent on the dollar. However, this rise of the greenback could reverse this trend. A too-rapid appreciation of the dollar would annihilate several years of work on dedollarization. Imported inflation in the BRICS bloc countries, combined with an increase in dollar-denominated debt, could significantly hinder their economic ambitions. Furthermore, this situation highlights the block’s vulnerability to international monetary fluctuations. While China and Russia have attempted to impose the yuan and ruble as alternatives to the dollar, recent tensions in financial markets reveal that the adoption of these currencies remains limited. A too-strong rise of the greenback risks rekindling the dominance of the American financial system, which could reduce the BRICS’ room for maneuver in international transactions. As the rise of the dollar seems inevitable in the short term, the BRICS will need to accelerate their efforts to counter this new reality. A revision of their monetary strategy, coupled with enhanced cooperation with other emerging nations, could be considered to mitigate the impact of this volatility. It remains to be seen whether this surge will be sufficient to challenge a dollar-dominated system or whether, on the contrary, this new reality will signal a resurgence of the greenback in global trade.

As the United States embraces bitcoin, Europe is bogged down by continuing to highlight the dystopia of the digital euro. The American president signed last week a decree finally favoring bitcoin . The clear distinction from other digital assets has helped to appease the popular outrage from Donald Trump’s famous tweet suggesting the creation of a “crypto reserve” also including ETH, XRP, SOL, ADA. The decree separates the strategic reserve of bitcoins from the holding of other digital assets acquired through confiscations in various criminal cases. Note that the bitcoins put in reserve cannot be sold, unlike other digital assets such as ETH, SOL, etc. “The Secretary of the Treasury can determine strategies for responsible management, including potential sales of the stock of digital assets of the United States”, can be read in the decree. As a cherry on top, the decree allows the accumulation of bitcoins, as long as it is done in a budget-neutral manner. The Secretary of the Treasury has stated his intention “to explore ways of augmenting the bitcoin reserve”. Secretary Scott Bessent has also not hidden his intention to use stablecoins to ensure that “the dollar remains the dominant reserve currency”. Let us remind that companies like Tether or Circle must hold one dollar in reserve for each stablecoin issued. Tether , for instance, invests about 80% of its 136 billion reserves into U.S. Treasury bonds. However, a significant part of its profits is also invested in bitcoin. This is the old stock market adage that is currently pushing bitcoin below $80,000. Indeed, while the presidential decree does create a strategic reserve of bitcoin, purchases will come later. The 12 members of the presidential working group have until July 22 to make proposals that will certainly serve as the basis for drafting the “Bitcoin Act”. Cynthia Lummis has been working on it for over two years. The senator hopes to create a reserve of one million BTC by selling a portion of the country’s gold reserves . Invited to the White House last Friday, Michael Saylor advised the president “to buy 25% of the bitcoins through daily purchases between 2025 and 2035”. Here is the document shared by Mr. Saylor on this occasion. For the CEO of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), such a reserve could “generate $100 billion, which would allow for the repayment of national debt.” He also believes in selling gold. Patience, then. That said, let us note that the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission) has already given its green light to banks that would like to allow their clients to invest in bitcoin. The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency has stated that federally regulated U.S. banks can now hold bitcoins without prior authorization. In short, Republicans have understood that bitcoin is a technological breakthrough that will inevitably impose itself worldwide. And in the meantime, in Europe… Two rooms, two atmospheres. While the United States has abandoned the CBDC project to embrace bitcoin, Europe is taking the opposite path. Christine Lagarde wants a digital euro that many believe is a prelude to the creation of a cashless society. The President of the European Central Bank swears that this is not the goal, but is she sincere? One can doubt it when one knows that she has been predicting the total abandonment of cash within 10 or 20 years for years. Moreover, she did declare this back in 2018 during a conference titled “Winds of Change: The Case for New Digital Currency” : Imagine if people who buy beer and frozen pizzas generally have a higher rate of default than those who buy organic broccoli and spring water. What can you do if you crave beer and pizza but don’t want your social credit to decrease? Today, you pull out cash. And tomorrow? Would a private payment system push you toward the broccoli aisle? Could central banks come to the rescue by offering a totally anonymous digital currency? Certainly not. That would be a boon for criminals. The former IMF president also assures us that the digital euro will not be programmable. In other words, spending your money in digital euros will not be conditioned. But again, many central bankers do not share the same opinion. Bo Li, the Deputy Managing Director of the IMF and former Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, stated for example in 2022: “The CBDC would allow the conditioning of money paid in the form of social assistance. We could for example program the money so that it could not be spent on anything other than food.” This statement illustrates the stakes and potential of central bank digital currency (CBDC). Christine Lagarde may not intend to end cash or limit the way we can spend our money, but what about her successor? It would not be the first time that the EU adopts the salami technique to confiscate our freedoms… Not building a gas factory with dystopian potential seems wiser. Especially since this project will cost billions of euros to taxpayers while the continent’s finances are increasingly drained. It would be much smarter to promote the bitcoin industry in all European countries that deploy renewable energies. Mining bitcoins could, for example, allow Germany to: We have already seen this demonstrated in Texas. The ERCOT CEO recently canceled the construction of about ten gas power plants due to the 3 GW that bitcoin miners can provide back to the grid on demand as long as necessary. Don’t miss our article on the subject: Bitcoin, France is going to ruin everything . Speaking of Texas , its Parliament has just authorized the creation of a bitcoin reserve. Other countries are already ahead. This is the case for Bhutan, El Salvador, or the United Arab Emirates. Many voices are also rising in Europe to avoid being the geese that lay the golden eggs. Notably in the Czech Republic where the governor of the central bank would like to add bitcoin to the country’s reserves. Lines are also moving in Poland, and even in Russia. Don’t miss our article on this subject: Putin: “Who can stop Bitcoin? No one”