• Bitcoin’s bull run is projected to peak between October and December 2025, reaching $270K–$300K.
  • The Bitcoin Spiral Clock model aligns price cycles with halving events, predicting a late 2025 market top.

According to the Bitcoin Spiral Clock model, Bitcoin’s bull cycle is projected to peak between October and December 2025. This tool, which tracks Bitcoin’s price movement through halving events and block formations, predicts a final surge to $270,000–$300,000 before the cycle ends. The rally could gain momentum once Bitcoin crosses the $100,000 threshold, a key resistance level. Investors are closely monitoring price milestones as BTC consolidates around $96,000.

Bitcoin Spiral Clock Model Clock Signals Bull Cycle Peak

The Bitcoin Spiral Clock is a newly introduced analytical model that maps Bitcoin’s price cycles to specific time points. Developed to align with halving events and block counts, the model suggests that each major price peak corresponds with a distinct clock position.

On February 14, 2025, Bitcoin reached 2:30 on the Spiral Clock upon forming its 883,750th block. This milestone points toward the next critical event at 4:30, expected on October 15, 2025. Analysts note that past market peaks in 2017 and 2021 also aligned with similar clock positions, reinforcing the model’s reliability.

On Valentine’s Day, we finally hit 2:30 🕝 on the #Bitcoin ₿ Spiral Clock.

That was the 883,750th #Bitcoin Block.

The major milestone of 4:30 🕟 (October 15th, 2025) is near where the previous two Cycles had their all time high peaks (2017 2021).

When could #Bitcoin hit… pic.twitter.com/JLsoJCxAN1

— John Osterman (@JohnXOsterman) February 16, 2025

According to John Osterman’s analysis, Bitcoin’s all-time high (ATH) could occur between 4:00 and 5:00 on the clock, translating to a peak between October and December 2025. If the pattern holds, the final leg of the bull run may drive Bitcoin to the $270,000–$300,000 range before the cycle concludes.

Key Milestones Before the Bull Run Ends

New Bitcoin Spiral Clock Model Predicts When BTC Bull Run Will End image 0 New Bitcoin Spiral Clock Model Predicts When BTC Bull Run Will End image 1 The Bitcoin Spiral Clock model.Source: John Osterman on X

Before reaching its projected peak, Bitcoin must first surpass several critical price levels. Analysts predict BTC will hit $200,000 by April 16, 2025, coinciding with 3:00 on the Spiral Clock (892,500th block). Another significant milestone at 3:30 (901,250th block) on June 15, 2025, could further support the uptrend.

Bitcoin has been consolidating between $94,000 and $100,000 for nearly two weeks. Some traders speculate that a short squeeze could force short positions to cover, leading to a rapid price spike.

Crypto analyst CrypNuevo has highlighted two key levels to watch: $93,300 as a potential support in case of a correction and $99,200 as a breakout target. Trader CJ, meanwhile, sees $102,500–$105,000 as a short-term ceiling but warns that a temporary drop to $80,000 remains possible before a sustained recovery.

Here's a slightly more zoomed out update on $BTC and thoughts for going into the week.

This has been an insane region for chop, but I think we're starting to see slightly more productive price action. I'm long since 95.4k and TP'd some into 98.1k.

We have a local range, so… pic.twitter.com/nHCFELssPv

— CJ (@CJ900X) February 16, 2025

Per a CNF report, veteran trader Peter Brandt has identified a head and shoulders pattern in Bitcoin’s price chart. Brandt outlined three possible outcomes: Bitcoin could complete the pattern and drop to $76,000, fail with a bear trap, or morph into a larger formation. While the pattern suggests potential short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s broader uptrend remains intact.

Despite market uncertainty, the Bitcoin Spiral Clock model suggests that the bull cycle is still in progress. The projected price surge to $270,000–$300,000 by late 2025 would mark the end of this cycle, reinforcing the model’s historical accuracy.

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