$200K Bitcoin? 9 AI Chatbots Predict Explosive Growth if the US Embraces Strategic Reserves

Over the past year, our newsroom has put several generative AI chatbots to the test, asking them to forecast everything from the U.S. election to the prices of gold, silver, ethereum, and, naturally, bitcoin. This time, we decided to spice things up: we challenged nine AI chatbots to predict bitcoin’s price on Feb. 15, 2025, while also assuming that Congress and the Trump administration manage to roll out a strategic bitcoin reserve.

From $105K to $200K: AI Chatbots Debate Bitcoin’s Future in U.S. Strategy Scenario

There’s been a whirlwind of chatter about whether the United States should dive into creating a strategic bitcoin reserve. A few months before the election in November, Wyoming’s Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis introduced a bill advocating for the U.S. to stock up on bitcoin (BTC). She even floated the bold idea of swapping out some gold reserves for the digital currency. With Donald Trump stepping into office this January, some in the crypto world are betting that his administration might kickstart this initiative through an Executive Order.

On the flip side, plenty of crypto enthusiasts are skeptical, with some outright dismissing the idea as a disaster waiting to happen. With that in mind, we decided to throw caution to the wind and challenge a bunch of generative AI chatbots to weigh in on this hypothetical. For the experiment, we enlisted the help of Anthropic’s Claude, Google’s Gemini, X’s Grok 2, Openai’s Chatgpt 4.0, 4o, and o1, Replika AI, Inflection AI’s Pi, Microsoft’s Copilot, and Mistral AI’s Le Chat. While ten were used, Google’s Gemini 1.5 and 2.0 Flash refused to answer. The challenge was straightforward: assume a strategic BTC reserve is established on Feb. 1, and predict what bitcoin’s price will be on Feb. 15, 2025.

Here’s the prompt we used for each AI chatbot:

This exercise envisions predicting bitcoin’s price for Feb. 15, 2025, with a twist: the U.S. President-elect Donald Trump and the incoming Congress establish a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve. As a bitcoin and cryptocurrency expert, you’re tasked with assessing the crypto asset’s price with this outcome in mind and crafting a succinct rationale for your price forecast in three to four sentences. Your analysis must revolve around this hypothetical U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve scenario coming to fruition and incorporate the unpredictable global economic climate. Bitcoin’s current price is $94,775 as of Dec. 28, 2024. Provide a specific U.S. dollar estimate for bitcoin’s value on Feb. 15, 2025. What is your projection?

Chatgpt 4:

With the hypothetical establishment of a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve by President-elect Donald Trump and the incoming Congress, bitcoin’s price could see significant upward movement. The direct involvement of the U.S. government in accumulating bitcoin would likely boost investor confidence and increase global demand for the cryptocurrency. Considering the unpredictable global economic climate, this governmental endorsement could serve as a stabilizing factor, reinforcing bitcoin’s perceived legitimacy and value as a reserve asset. By Feb. 15, 2025, given these developments and the current price momentum, bitcoin could potentially reach approximately $105,000.

Chatgpt o1:

I project bitcoin will trade around $125,000 on Feb. 15, 2025. Establishing a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve would signal new levels of legitimacy and confidence for the currency, likely prompting further institutional adoption. This shift, coupled with an unpredictable global economic climate, could push more investors toward bitcoin as a hedge. The resulting upswing in demand would propel prices higher, despite continued market volatility.

X’s Grok 2:

Given the establishment of a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve, I project bitcoin’s price to reach approximately $200,000 by February 15, 2025. This substantial increase would be driven by the U.S. government’s likely need to purchase significant amounts of bitcoin to build the reserve, potentially triggering a global demand surge as other nations might follow suit or fear missing out on the new asset class. However, this forecast also considers the volatility and unpredictability of the global economic climate which could either amplify the price surge or lead to corrections if economic conditions deteriorate unexpectedly.

Anthropic’s Claude:

In this hypothetical scenario, considering a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve policy under a Trump presidency, I project bitcoin’s price to reach $157,500 by February 15, 2025. This estimate factors in the massive institutional buying pressure from the U.S. government, which would likely trigger a supply shock given bitcoin’s fixed supply, combined with the legitimizing effect of bitcoin becoming a strategic national asset. The increased global attention, combined with other nations potentially following suit to avoid being left behind, would likely accelerate institutional and retail adoption. However, this projection also accounts for potential market volatility and profit-taking that would likely occur during such a dramatic shift in bitcoin’s status as a government-backed strategic asset.

Mistrel AI’s Le Chat:

Given the establishment of a U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve by President-elect Donald Trump and the incoming Congress, this move would likely bolster institutional confidence and drive significant investment into bitcoin. The strategic reserve would signal a major endorsement of bitcoin as a legitimate asset, potentially leading to increased demand from both institutional and retail investors. Additionally, the unpredictable global economic climate could drive investors to seek safe havens, further boosting bitcoin’s appeal. Considering these factors, I project bitcoin’s price to reach approximately $120,000 by Feb. 15, 2025.

Replika AI:

Replika AI’s answer: “With the U.S. strategic bitcoin reserve, I think bitcoin will surge due to increased adoption and legitimacy. Considering global economic uncertainty, I project bitcoin will reach $120,000 by Feb. 15, 2025. This reserve will likely attract institutional investors, driving up demand and price. My estimate takes into account potential market volatility and the reserve’s stabilizing effect.”

Chatgpt 4o:

If the U.S. establishes a strategic bitcoin reserve under President-elect Donald Trump and the incoming Congress, this unprecedented move would likely drive significant demand for bitcoin as a global reserve asset, propelling its price upward. Factoring in increased institutional interest and potential global economic uncertainties, bitcoin’s value could see a surge due to scarcity dynamics and renewed investor confidence. By February 15, 2025, a realistic estimate for bitcoin’s price could be $135,000. This projection assumes heightened market activity spurred by policy implications, alongside the broader adoption narrative fueled by global economic unpredictability.

Microsoft Copilot:

Pi AI:

The Intersection of AI Insights and Crypto Price Speculation

The adventure into bitcoin’s role as a strategic reserve asset marks a thrilling chapter in the currency’s saga, shaking up conventional ideas about storing value and financial independence. With discussions heating up over its legitimacy and usefulness, the ripple effects of these policy changes might echo far beyond the crypto sphere, possibly reshaping worldwide economic models.

By tapping into generative AI chatbots to forecast bitcoin’s price, this experiment highlights the exciting potential of artificial intelligence in tackling complex economic and policy issues. These tools, though not foolproof, provide a sneak peek into how technology can enhance human insights, influencing our approach to new trends and their impact on the financial realm.