Ethena gears up for massive token unlock – can ENA price withstand the sell pressure?
Ethena is facing a potential wave of sell pressure as 266 million ENA tokens are set to unlock in two phases, starting with the first $34 million unlock today.
According to CryptoRank.io , Ethena ( ENA ) will unlock 94.19 million ENA tokens today, worth $33.87 million—0.63% of total supply and 1.79% of market cap. Further, 171.85 million tokens will be unlocked on April 5.
The upcoming token unlocks come as ENA trades at $0.35, down by 17% over the past week, following World Liberty Financial ‘s dump of 184,000 ENA tokes, worth $69,000, on March 25. Prior to that, on March 5, Ethena unlocked a massive 2.07 billion ENA tokens—worth $728 million—representing 13.9% of the total supply.
Looking at the chart, ENA price has been in a clear downtrend from the start of the year, trading below the 21-day Exponential Moving Average. The price attempted a breakout above the 21-day EMA for a few days in late March, but failed to sustain above it.
The RSI is at 44.26, below the neutral 50 level. However, the RSI moving average is at 46.88, meaning there is some attempt to recover, but it’s still weak.
The recent lows around $0.342 act as short-term support. If the price holds above this zone, it could attempt another move towards the 21-EMA at 0.3817. According to technical analyst Ali Martinez , if ENA defends this support level, it could climb to $0.473.
As long as #Ethena $ENA defends the $0.342 support, it could climb toward $0.473. Keep it on your radar! pic.twitter.com/FKUFIpHBjr
However, if this support fails, the price could drop to $0.30 – $0.32, where the price consolidated in October last year before breaking out into a major bullish rally .
Are XRP and ADA Leading a Potential Altcoin Relief Rally This Week?
Current on-chain conditions suggest a developing bearish long-term signal for XRP. Its Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which compares market price to the average price holders paid, reportedly dipped below its 200-day moving average.
This specific crossover is still in its early stages and remains unconfirmed as a major trend shift. However, according to technical analysts like Ali Martinez, a sustained MVRV crossover to the downside has historically sometimes signaled a broader macro shift in XRP’s price action direction.
XRP came under notable bearish pressure during the last week of March. It consistently closed below its opening price for six of the past seven trading days then. The cryptocurrency’s price tumbled from near $2.50 to reach $2.020 by the close of March 31.
Although XRP’s MVRV showed these early potential bearish signals, the altcoin remains within an established sideways trading range for now. XRP traded mostly between $2 and $3 in the past two months, only briefly testing below the $2 support level.
Consistent with this range, XRP bounced off support recently. It traded near $2.1062 at the time of writing Wednesday, up 7.12% from Monday’s low.
XRP’s latest price structure resembles ADA’s recent trend. The Cardano native token also rebounded from a slump into a notable support region. ADA gained 7.92% after its own Monday decline to trade near $0.6693 at press time. Its move signals a potential upsurge attempt from the bottom of its own established range.
Related: ADA Bulls Need to Crack This Level for Rally to Continue on April 2
Separately, recent approval for Coinbase to offer CFTC-regulated Cardano futures builds a tailwind that could support ADA’s bullish momentum.
The crypto exchange confirmed the approval Monday after a standard two-week review period by the CFTC for its application.
XRP and ADA have gained attention following events related to the projects’ perceived closeness with the current US administration and other developments within their respective ecosystems.
Many analysts monitor these cryptocurrencies to help analyze the broader altcoin market. They consider their market status and the potential leadership role they could provide during market shifts.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
Ethereum Q2 Outlook: Strong Seasonality Clashes with Weak On-Chain Data
As Q1 comes to a close, Ethereum investors shift their focus toward Q2 prospects. April and May historically stand out as some of the stronger months for the crypto market. Historical data shows April delivered an average Ethereum return near 20% in past cycles, while May consistently outperformed with an average gain closer to 30%. This strong seasonal tendency raises a question for Ethereum (ETH) on whether it can surpass the $3,000 mark by the end of May this year.
Many analysts remain generally bullish on ETH’s longer-term potential to break key resistance levels eventually. However, beneath this general outlook, recent on-chain activity suggests a more complex and cautious narrative.
According to blockchain analyst Ali Martinez, there has been a major decline noted in whale Ethereum transactions since February 25. Activity among these large wallets reportedly dropped by 63.8% during that observed period.
Data also shows Ethereum is estimated to generate just $22 million in total network transaction fees for March—the lowest level since 2020., according to data sources like TokenTerminal.
Related: Three Reasons Why Crypto Market Might Recover Strongly in Q2 2025
While fees and price don’t always move together, history shows that rising fees often signal stronger price action for ETH. Conversely, falling fees can mean a period of market slowdown or lack of investor interest.
While a sharp drop in whale activity might seem concerning initially, it does not necessarily guarantee further immediate downside for Ethereum’s price.
In fact, it could also mean a period of consolidation—a common phase before a big price movement. This consolidation could either set the stage for a bullish breakout or suggest that the market is pausing to reassess before the next move.
Related: Deep Dive: Vitalik Buterin’s 2-of-3 Proof System for Ethereum Layer 2s
ETH is also currently attempting to break back above the $1,900 level. Successfully reclaiming this area, which acted as prior support, could mark the start of a renewed bullish trend, particularly if the move is sustained on increased volume.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.
Crypto Market Divided Ahead of April 2 “Liberation Day”: BTC Waits, Alts Run
The cryptocurrency market remains cautious Tuesday as investors await April 2nd, “Liberation Day,” as the Trump administration termed it when they impose new tariffs on the “Dirty 15” nations .
Market leaders Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) showed only modest gains over the past day. However, several altcoins were the true market movers, including Walrus (WAL), EOS, Curve Finance (CRV), and AI16Z. According to CoinMarketCap data, over the past 24 hours, WAL gained 22%, EOS climbed 15.19%, CRV rose 18.18%, and AI16Z’s price increased 16.75%.
Additionally, certain small-cap tokens delivered substantial gains, such as RFC (+293%) and DOGINME (+58.9%), according to CryptoRank. This data highlighted ongoing speculative momentum in specific market segments despite broader caution.
Despite near-term uncertainty, institutional players continue to demonstrate confidence in Bitcoin. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) added another 22,048 BTC to its corporate treasury, spending $1.92 billion for this latest batch at an average price of $86,900 per BTC.
Meanwhile, stablecoin issuer Tether acquired 8,888 BTC (worth ~$735M at the time) during the first quarter of 2025. These large purchases reinforce the view that major institutions are positioning for Bitcoin’s potential long-term appreciation.
Bitcoin’s current price action suggests consolidation. A critical near-term resistance level sits at $84,824, aligning with the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key short-term trend indicator. Chart analysis also indicates BTC might be in a potential accumulation phase above a key support level currently identified near $76,180.
If BTC fails to reclaim the 20-day EMA soon, it could retest lower support levels. Prominent technical analyst Ali Martinez noted that Bitcoin has an “air gap” below $80,000, meaning very little established technical support exists until the $70,000 price area.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has dropped to 24 , indicating significant “Fear” among market participants. Simultaneously, Bitcoin’s market dominance (BTC.D) remains above 61%, generally suppressing conditions needed for a sustainable, broad altcoin market rally.
The chart tracking the total market cap of altcoins excluding Bitcoin (often called TOTAL2) highlights a declining Relative Strength Index (RSI), a commonly used momentum indicator. The RSI currently hovers around 40.40. This RSI level suggests altcoins may remain in a neutral-to-bearish short-term posture.
However, a bounce from these RSI levels could signal renewed upward momentum for altcoins. If the RSI moves back above the 50 level, the altcoin market could potentially see a significant rally.
Analysis using Fibonacci retracement levels further indicates key areas to watch. If the total altcoin market cap holds support above the 1.0 Fib level (around $923 billion), a potential breakout could follow.
The next major resistance target based on this analysis aligns with the 1.618 Fib extension level (around $1.16 trillion). However, if the broader market weakens further, lower Fibonacci support levels at the 2.618 ($630B), 3.618 ($450B), and 4.236 ($380B) extensions could come into play.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this article is for informational and educational purposes only. The article does not constitute financial advice or advice of any kind. Coin Edition is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the utilization of content, products, or services mentioned. Readers are advised to exercise caution before taking any action related to the company.