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Polymarket bettors lose big on Pope prediction, accuracy of rare event predictions in question Bettors on the crypto prediction platform Polymarket collectively misjudged the election of the new pope, with users betting on the popular candidates Parolin (28% chance of winning) and Tagle (20% chance of winning) losing more than $28 million, while the actual winner Provost (1% chance of winning) was not favored. This rare event exposed the limitations of the prediction market in low-frequency special events, in stark contrast to its 90% prediction accuracy in political elections. Anonymous top bettor Domer analyzed that the lack of public information for reference in the papal election led users to over-reliance on traditional data. (CoinDesk)

Why I’m Holding $OBOL Long-Term: My Bullish Thesis In the chaotic world of crypto, where prices swing wildly and sentiment shifts overnight, it’s tempting to jump from one trend to the next. But amidst the noise, a few projects stand out—not just for their hype, but for their vision, utility, and long-term value. $OBOL is one of them. While many are trading it for quick gains, I’ve decided to hold. Here’s why. 1. $OBOL Has Real Utility At its core, $OBOL supports Obol Network, a protocol focused on distributed validator technology (DVT). It’s designed to make Ethereum staking more decentralized, secure, and resilient. Unlike projects that rely solely on speculation, $OBOL is building critical infrastructure for Ethereum’s future. As staking grows, so does the relevance of DVT—and by extension, $OBOL. 2. Decentralization Is the Future Ethereum is evolving, and with the shift to proof-of-stake, there’s growing concern about centralization risks among validators. Obol’s solution—using distributed validator clusters—directly addresses this by allowing multiple parties to collaboratively run validators. It’s a meaningful step toward true decentralization, and $OBOL sits at the center of this innovation. 3. The Team Knows What They’re Doing I’m not just betting on the tech, I’m betting on the people. The Obol team is composed of respected developers and researchers with deep roots in Ethereum’s staking ecosystem. They’ve published open-source tools, collaborated with top staking providers, and have shown consistency in development—something rare in this space. 4. Ecosystem Growth and Adoption $OBOL isn’t some idle token sitting in a wallet—it’s part of an active and growing ecosystem. Already, major staking platforms and validator operators are exploring or integrating Obol’s DVT. As adoption increases, so will the relevance and utility of the token. This isn’t theoretical growth—it’s happening now. 5. Community Strength A passionate, informed community is often a sign of a project with staying power. In the case of $OBOL, the community is not only active but also technically proficient and committed to decentralization ideals. That kind of base gives the project stability and organic growth, especially during bear markets. 6. I’m Thinking Beyond the Charts Yes, $OBOL has seen its fair share of volatility—what crypto hasn’t? But long-term investing isn’t about daily candles. It’s about understanding value. I believe $OBOL’s value lies not just in price speculation but in its potential to help shape Ethereum’s validator infrastructure for years to come. 7. The Risk Is Measured No investment is risk-free. And I’d never suggest going all-in on any one token. But with $OBOL, the fundamentals, tech, and roadmap give me confidence that this isn’t just another flash in the pan. I’ve sized my position carefully, and I’m prepared to hold through the ups and downs. ⸻ Conclusion While others chase short-term gains, I’m looking at the long game. $OBOL represents more than a ticker symbol—it represents a step forward for Ethereum’s decentralization and security. That’s why I’m not selling into the next pump. I’m holding. Because some tokens are just worth the wait.

Trump said on Truth Social that the 80 percent trade tariff imposed on China seemed right. The Republican said the tariffs were fine as the nation prepared to engage in weekend talks in Geneva with China. Shipping data showed a sharp decline in the number of goods moved from China to the U.S. U.S. President Donald Trump said the 80 percent tariffs on China seemed perfect. The president said this as representatives prepared for Geneva discussions slated for the weekend. Scott Bessent, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, and Jamieson Greer, chief trade negotiator, will meet He Lifeng, Chinese representative, in Geneva, Switzerland, over the weekend for trade talks. Trump also said that China should open their market to the U.S. because it would benefit them. The president also claimed China would not go beyond the current tariffs of 145 percent. The Republican also said it was up to the U.S. Treasury Secretary to secure a deal during the Geneva talks. According to data from the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, China is among the top U.S. trading partners. Last year, China exported $438.9 billion in goods while importing $143.5 billion from the U.S. Amidst the escalating tensions between the two countries, recent shipping data showed a sharp decline in the number of imported products from China, leading to serious concerns regarding the shortage of particular goods in the next few weeks or the potential for higher prices. Trump said on Wednesday that he would not reduce tariffs to get China to the discussion table Since his inauguration in January, U.S. President Donald Trump has increased levies on Chinese imports to 145 percent. While serving his first term, the Republican also imposed levies on many Chinese goods. Biden also introduced levies during his first presidential term. China recently hit back at Trump’s tariffs by prohibiting the export of some rare earth minerals. The Chinese government also hit back by increasing tariffs on U.S. goods to 125 percent, on top of extra levies on select goods like liquefied natural gas and soybeans. U.S. President Donald Trump hinted that tariffs on China could come down as officials from the two largest economies were set to meet. He added that they already knew it would come down. The president also said he looked forward to a friendly meeting with the Chinese officials. Trump said he hoped representatives from both nations would hold the talks in an elegant way. Vice Foreign Minister of China Hua Chunying also said he was confident about the weekend talks. Chunying added that Beijing had enough confidence in its ability to hold talks about trade issues with the U.S. However, Stephen Olson, a former US trade negotiator, argued that the systemic friction between China and the US would not be resolved any time soon. Olson added that any cuts to the current tariffs in the weekend talks were likely to be minor. Bessent said he was determined to rebalance the international economic system to serve US interests better. He added that the talks would be about de-escalation but not securing a big trade deal. Bessent said talks would focus on de-escalating before they could move forward. KEY Difference Wire helps crypto brands break through and dominate headlines fast

Blocksquare: Real Estate with Real Blockchain Utility A solid, working product with long-term fundamentals! Real estate tokenization has been one of those ideas that’s been floating around the crypto space for years — but very few have actually delivered. Most platforms pitch vague promises. Blocksquare is one of the rare few that’s quietly gone ahead and built the infrastructure. And not just the tech — the legal rails, the integrations, and the DeFi bridge that actually matters. Let’s walk through what makes Blocksquare worth a closer look — as a working protocol that’s genuinely aligned with long-term real-world adoption What Blocksquare Is Actually Solving Real estate is the biggest asset class in the world — yet it’s illiquid, slow, and heavily gated. You can’t just buy a piece of a building on the internet. At least, not in any meaningful way. Blocksquare changes that by offering a full-stack infrastructure for: 1- Tokenizing real-world real estate assets on Ethereum 2- Creating digital marketplaces under your own brand 3- Offering fractionalized ownership through legally enforceable smart contracts 4- Enabling revenue distribution to token holders, transparently and on-chain 5- Bridging these tokenized assets into DeFi through Oceanpoint The Tokenization Protocol At the heart of the system is the PropToken — a custom ERC-20 smart contract that represents a specific real-world property. This is not just a digital receipt. Each PropToken is legally backed by a corporate resolution that links the token to the actual revenue rights of the property. Here’s the flow: - A legal entity owns a property. - That entity issues a public Corporate Resolution (uploaded to IPFS). - A PropToken smart contract is created, referencing that legal files - Investors can now hold tokens that directly represent a percentage of net revenue from that asset. - If the issuer defaults, investors have legal recourse — with smart contract payments and IPFS-anchored documents acting as court-admissible evidence. BSPT: Each tokenized property gets its own Blocksquare Property Token (BSPT) — capped at 100,000 tokens per asset. These aren’t utility tokens. They’re engineered to reflect capital stacks and ownership rights. ▸ 100,000 tokens = 100% of the asset’s royalty flow ▸ Legal protection via IPFS + Corporate Resolution ▸ Varies per asset (e.g., BSPT-XYZ-01) ▸ On-chain valuation and payment tracking For real estate issuers, it’s about unlocking equity without taking on debt. For investors, it’s fractional real estate with verifiable cash flows and minimal overhead. Oceanpoint: Let’s address the elephant in the room: tokenizing real estate is great — but what if no one wants to buy the token? What if there’s no liquidity? This is exactly where Oceanpoint comes in. Oceanpoint is a decentralized liquidity engine built by Blocksquare to connect RWA (real-world asset) tokens to DeFi in a practical, structured way. Why Oceanpoint Matters: ▸ Liquidity engine for tokenized properties ▸ Decentralized — your funds stay yours ▸ No KYC required to participate in the DeFi layer ▸ Censorship and fraud resistant — interacts directly with Ethereum smart contracts ▸ Simple UI with portfolio tracking, staking, and yield features ▸ Layer 2 ready — with future plans for scaling BST staking in the governance pool has been live for 2+ years, and holders receive sBST, which grants voting rights over Oceanpoint DAO proposals. One of the most practical and high-impact ways to pledge your voting power is through the active marketplace pool campaigns on Oceanpoint’s Launchpad — where new tokenized marketplaces compete for community-backed capital allocation. Tokens That Matter in the Blocksquare Ecosystem BST — The main token powering Oceanpoint. Used for staking, governance, and community incentives. sBST — Governance token received when staking BST. Gives holders voting rights over Oceanpoint proposals via Snapshot. POINT — A real estate-backed stablecoin that represents $1 worth of tokenized real estate in Oceanpoint’s pool. LP tokens — Standard DEX LP tokens for providing liquidity, also stakeable in the system for additional rewards. BSPT — The real estate asset token tied to each property. Real Usage, Real Numbers This isn’t a testnet project. Blocksquare is already active. ▸ Over 157+ properties tokenized ▸ $148.94M+ in total real estate tokenized value ▸ 28 countries ▸ 15 marketplaces live And growing — weekly. These aren’t random digital real estate NFTs. These are commercial and residential properties with verified value and actual revenue streams. What Sets Blocksquare Apart? Let’s be real — there are many RWA protocols popping up right now. But Blocksquare’s edge is in its execution maturity and legal engineering: 1- Not just asset tokenization — but enforceable tokenization 2- Built-in compliance structure — aligned with EU standards 3- Direct integration of fiat onboarding (bank accounts, EUR support) 4- White-label platform for any issuer to spin up their own investment portal 5- Built-in buyback mechanism — when properties are sold, token holders can be cashed out through a tender process 6- Selected into the European Blockchain Sandbox, validating both tech and legal frameworks The Sandbox isn’t just some PR badge — it puts Blocksquare in active collaboration with regulators, giving it a front-row seat to the future of EU blockchain policy. That’s how institutional adoption starts. It’s building the boring infrastructure that makes RWA real: ▸ A strong legal framework ▸ Real income flows ▸ Real-world assets ▸ Structured DeFi connectivity And it’s doing it without over-promising. Watch the tokenization pipeline. Follow Oceanpoint governance. Pay attention to liquidity growth.

SHM Rebounds 27%—Is This the Bottom or Just a Pause? After launching at $0.7285, $SHM dropped sharply to $0.2185, shaking out weak hands. But as of now, it has bounced back to $0.2783—a solid 27% recovery in less than 24 hours. Here’s what this price action tells me: 1. Smart money buys blood – The dip triggered fear, but real volume entered around $0.22. That’s a classic sign of accumulation. 2. Short-term bottom? – If SHM holds above $0.25 with steady volume, we could see a push back to the $0.35–$0.40 resistance zone. 3. Narrative strength – As a modular chain token, SHM fits into one of the most bullish narratives of this cycle. Early volatility could hide long-term value. My Trading Outlook: I’ve started scaling into a position around $0.26–$0.28 with targets at $0.35 and $0.42. Stop-loss is tight at $0.21 to protect capital. Conclusion: SHM’s launch wasn’t smooth, but its quick rebound shows there’s interest. If momentum continues, this might be a rare second-chance entry. What do you think—is SHM just warming up? #SHM #AlphaInsight #PricePrediction